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Newsletter of Mar 20, 2020

As the epidemic spreads, we take a look at the factors that determine its impact on the global economy.

 

What does the coronavirus outbreak mean for the global economy?

The spread of the new coronavirus Covid-19 has serious economic consequences beyond the high number of diseases and deaths. The strong international interconnection between countries can lead to the types of economic consequences, now seen in China, to spread worldwide. In this blog post, we tease out the different effects.

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The Coronavirus challenges global value chains

A few weeks ago, we published a comprehensive macro analysis of the German value chain network. As the Coronavirus has started to disrupt global value chains, we were wondering if it tells us anything about Germany’s risk of infection. Turns out, it offers some general clues.

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Can Ethiopia become the economic hub of Africa?

Ethiopia Economy: Ethiopia has been one of the fastest-growing countries in the world, with a double-digit growth rate over the past one and half-decade. The country’s GDP  increased by 10.25% in 2017, mainly as a result of the huge state investment in infrastructure, agriculture, education, and the services sectors in a state model that permitted no political opposition[1]. The country’s positive economic progress is reflected in the improved living standard, a huge reduction in the poverty rate (down 33%), improved employment opportunities, and relative peace.

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Cities’ Strategies to Cope with the Challenges of Globalisation: Helsinki

Resilient and competitive cities are key to coping with the challenges arising from globalization. Helsinki’s “world most functional city” strategy was implemented at the end of 2017. Looking at their strategy and talking with their strategic manager Mr. Marko Karvinen offers some interesting insights and learnings.

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How Deflationary is Digitisation?

In his book ‘The Price of Tomorrow,’ Canadian technological entrepreneur Jeff Booth engages in the debate about the global effects of digitization on inflation. I talked with him about the central thesis of his book and discussed some of his personal views.

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A New European Industrial Strategy

For almost a year now, European politicians have struggled with how the future of European industry should look. On March 10, 2020, this question received its first answer with the publication of the European Commission’s A New Industrial Strategy for Europe. In this post, we take a look at this proposal, its implications, and main challenges.

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CEPS Ideas Lab – Some Takeaways

The CEPS Ideas Lab, the annual flagship event by the Centre for European Policy Studies, took place on March 5th and 6th in Brussels this year with the opening plenary given by Charles Michel, President of the European Council. Here you’ll find a summary of some of the takeaways from three sessions.

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About Global Economic Dynamics (GED):

We help make complex economic dynamics transparent and understandable.

The project examines the causes and effects of economic trends, as well as the connections linking one trend to another.

 

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Andreas Esche

Director, Program Megatrends

 

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The Bertelsmann Stiftung, based in Gütersloh, Germany, is a nonprofit, private

operating foundation in accordance with Section 1 of North Rhine-Westphalia's Foundation Law.

The district government of Detmold serves as its supervisory authority.

Founder: Reinhard Mohn

Chairman of the Board of Trustees: Prof. Dr. Werner J. Bauer

Executive Board: Dr. Ralph Heck (Chairman), Dr. Brigitte Mohn, Prof. Dr. Daniela Schwarzer