Analysis and research on governance, political regimes and economic policies from the BTI Transformation Index

 

Central Europe: The Czech Republic Steers clear of Populist Tide, for Now

On 9 March, the new Czech President Petr Pavel, a retired army general, was inaugurated after he defeated the populist Andrej Babiš in the January election. Can the Czech Republic keep bucking the populist trend underway in Central European countries like Poland, Slovakia and Hungary? read more

 
Thema aktuelle Situation im Iran.

Iran: Why the revolutionary process is likely to persist

Last September marked the beginning of Iran’s nationwide protests calling for regime change. This winter, street protests have waned, but the revolutionary process is poised to gain momentum again. After all, the socio-economic and political crises engulfing the country will continue to be the driving forces, with a regime unable to address both. read more

Kasachstan, Ukraine und russische Flaggen auf schild im freien in der natur.

War in Ukraine: Central Asia’s Pragmatic Dealings with Russia

One year after the invasion of Ukraine, the five Central Asian nations have differed in their responses to Russia. Above all, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan, seek to safeguard themselves from future exogenous shocks, regardless of whether they originate from Russia, China or the West. read more

 

Nigeria: Widespread Violence Overshadows Election

Africa’s largest democracy is poised to hold its national election, but rising violence looks set to impede many voters from placing their vote. How likely is it that the successful candidate will usher in much-needed stability? read more

Straßenszene in einem Flüchtlingslager im Nordosten Nigerias, in dem Menschen vor der islamistischen Terrorgruppe Boko Haram Zuflucht gefunden haben.

 
Türkei Politik EU Talk High-Level Economic Dialogue

A crunch year for EU-Turkey relations: With or without Erdoğan

2023 will be a key year for Turkey. As well as celebrating the 100th anniversary of the Turkish Republic, voters will choose a new President and a new Parliament. But, with or without Erdoğan, is the EU likely to alter its stance on Turkey? read more

Back view of three Ethiopian soldiers walking in the wasteland.

Tensions in the Horn of Africa: Eritrea’s war in Ethiopia is ending amid doubts about truce

The peace agreement signed in November by the Ethiopian government and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) was designed to end the bloodiest war currently underway anywhere. As uncertainty mounts about whether the ceasefire will hold, what is Eritrea’s President Isaias Afwerki likely to do next? read more

 

Outlook

 

Our next newsletter will feature topics such as the peace negotiations between the government of the DRC and the M23, the transformation of the opposition in Venezuela and the upcoming elections in Kosovo.

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