Dear Reader,

 

Summer break is almost here in political Europe – and before we head to beaches, lakes, and mountains, we wanted to take a moment to reflect on recent developments and offer a quick preview of what’s coming next.

 

Last week: a bold EU budget proposal

The European Commission presented its proposal for the next Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF) – a once-every-seven-years moment. Hopes are always high that this will be the time real reform happens. Usually, those hopes are disappointed. But not this time: the Commission put forward a bold package to modernise how the EU budget works. For anyone who believes the EU needs to act faster and more effectively, this is welcome news. You’ll find my first take in the Bluesky thread below – and we’ll be covering the negotiations closely over the next two years.

 

This week: China in focus

On Monday, our expert group on Europe’s response to the “new China shock” met for the third time. And on Thursday, Commission President von der Leyen and Council President Costa will meet Premier Li Qiang in Beijing for the EU–China Summit. In her latest piece, my colleague Cora Jungbluth outlines why expectations for this format should be modest – and what the EU should focus on.

 

Looking ahead to autumn: plenty in the pipeline

We’ll return with a full agenda, from cutting bureaucratic red tape the right way to the new Emissions Trading Scheme for buildings and transport, and from EU–MENA policy to trade.

 

Two highlights:

- In September, we’ll launch our Geoeconomic Interconnectivity Index, measuring how strongly the EU is linked to 21

countries in its eastern and southern neighbourhood – and how China, the U.S., and Russia compare.

 

- At the same time, we’ll start exploring European space policy, with our Senior Expert Torben Schütz taking the lead,

building on work by our colleagues in Washington, DC.

 

With that, we wish you a great summer. See you in September!

 

Best from Berlin,

 

Lucas Guttenberg

Director, Europe’s Future Programme

 

 

 

 

 
Flag of Europe, European Union; Two unacceptable gears

Analysis: The Dos and Don'ts for the EU-China Summit

With tensions high and expectations low, the EU–China Summit offers little hope for breakthroughs. Despite this, Cora Jungbluth outlines a strategic compass for the EU. Her recommendations are to speak clearly on Russia, trade, and reciprocity; keep the CAI frozen; and flip the script on de-risking.
Read more

Rendering of two flags from Republic of Germany and French Republic.

Op-Ed: Franco-German Reset Agenda

Berlin and Paris can seize renewed momentum to define a joint agenda for Europe, focusing on economic resilience, tech sovereignty, and the EU's financial framework, writes Daniela Schwarzer in Handelsblatt. With shared interests but different instincts, the Franco-German duo can lead if they overcome old rifts.
Read more

 
Coins and banknotes on wooden table against European Union flag.

Bluesky Thread: The EU’s MFF Proposal at a Glance

The EU Commission's new long-term budget proposal was released last Wednesday. The budget increase is modest, but there are sweeping changes to its structure. Lucas Guttenberg breaks down the big shifts: more money for the EU's key priorities and new ways to spend it better.
Read more

Landscape with Milky way galaxy. Sunrise and Earth view from space with Milky way galaxy.

Website: Astropolitics

From low Earth orbit to the Moon, space is the new frontier of power politics. Will governments, companies, and citizens harness it for global good, or spiral into zero-sum rivalry? This new microsite from the Bertelsmann Foundation in Washington, DC, offers infographics, expert interviews, briefings, and films to inspire fresh thinking on our shared future.
Read more

 
 

Stay tuned

 

Thank you for reading this edition of our BSt Europe newsletter!

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