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Global Economic Dynamics

Newsletter of March 2016

We help make complex economic dynamics transparent and understandable. The project examines the causes and effects of economic trends, as well as the connections linking one trend to another.



TTIP & TPP - A Threat to Latin America?

For centuries, Latin America’s economies have revolved around digging up natural resources and shipping them overseas. Depending on the era, this could certainly be a lucrative endeavor, but commodity prices are notoriously fickle, and a focus on natural resources did not allow the region to build the manufacturing supply chains that have been instrument in East Asia’s rapid industrialization.

Against this background, Latin America is now facing a global change towards a new world trade order characterized by the emergence of so-called Mega Trade Deals.

But how exactly will such deals as the TTIP or TPP affect the Latin American countries? Find out in our newest explanatory video, based on our study: A Chain Reaction? read more


Blog Post

How does Schengen Affect the World?

One month ago we covered our new study on the macroeconomic effects of a permanent departure from the Schengen Agreement. In the study, we presented the results for selected countries only. In this post, we offer the economic growth losses for all 42 contries covered by the macroeconomic model used. read more


Blog Post

India – The Next Global Growth Engine?

Global economic development of the last two decades was dominated by the rise of the Chinese economy. Now the transformation of China’s economy towards a consumer- and service oriented growth model is reducing growth rates. In this blog post we examine the question of whether India has the potential to replace China as the locomotive of global economic growth. read more


Blog Post

Buying Europe? Chinese investment in the EU still low despite recent hype

The Chinese are coming!

This subject has been popping up in European media for more than ten years now: Germany was caught by a Chinese “tsunami” in 2006 (Spiegel) followed by a “China invasion” in 2011 (Bild Zeitung). Britain was bought up by the Chinese in 2014 (The Telegraph); and in 2015 finally, Bloomberg stated: “China wants to buy up Europe”. read more


Blog Post

Obama to Visit Cuba & Argentina

Whereas logic dictated his first seven trips – four to Mexico (a major trading partner and neighbor to the US), one to Brazil (the region’s largest country in terms of population, economy and territory), and international conferences in Panama and Colombia – these upcoming trips could ultimately define Obama’s legacy in the region, and could prove a turning point in US – Latin American relations.

In this post, we take a closer look at Obama’s trips and consider why they matter moving forward. read more


Blog Post

Three things to watch in Brazil

Brazil is facing a state of turmoil. GED's own Sam George is looking at three underlying trends that might show where the country is heading. read more


Job Vancancies


The Bertelmann Stiftung's Global Economic Dynamics Project is seeking an Intern. read more



About Global Economic Dynamics (GED):

We help make complex economic dynamics transparent and understandable.

The project examines the causes and effects of economic trends, as well as the connections linking one trend to another.


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Andreas Esche

Director, Program Megatrends


Bertelsmann Stiftung

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33311 Gütersloh


Tel: +49 5241 81-81333

Fax: +49 5241 81-681333

E-mail: ged@bertelsmann-stiftung.de

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The Bertelsmann Stiftung, based in Gütersloh, Germany, is a nonprofit, private

operating foundation in accordance with Section 1 of North Rhine-Westphalia's Foundation Law.

The district government of Detmold serves as its supervisory authority.

Founder: Reinhard Mohn

Chairman of the Board of Trustees: Prof. Dr. Werner J. Bauer

Executive Board: Dr. Ralph Heck (Chairman), Dr. Brigitte Mohn, Prof. Dr. Daniela Schwarzer