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Global Economic Dynamics

Newsletter of June 2016

We help make complex economic dynamics transparent and understandable. The project examines the causes and effects of economic trends, as well as the connections linking one trend to another.

 

Blog Post

The Big GED Brexit Roundup

The Britons have made their decision. On June 23, 2016 the UK voted to formally exit the European Union. Over the next 24 months the British government will have time to organize their departure and negotiate their new standing within Europe. What exactly that standing will be, at this point, no one can tell. Still, many more general consequences such as the economic effects this decision will bear in the future, are better predictable and experts agree: They do not look pretty! 

Over the past year we at the GED Team have written extensively about the possibility of an impending Brexit. Here you can see all our analyses and findings in one place. read more

 

Webinar

Bulls, Bears and Brexit: Perspectives from Europe and the US

Thank you for joining us on on Wednesday, 15 June 2016 for our successful third GED Webinar. Under the animation of Anthony Silberfeld and Christian Bluth we had a lively discussion on the implications of a potential Brexit for the financial industry in Britain and abroad.
The interactive session also featured Alan Houmann (Managing Director, Head of Government Affairs, Citigroup) and Sony Kapoor (Managing Director, Re-Define), both contributing their valuable insights.

You can watch the video cut of the webinar here. read more

 

Study

The Forgotten Continent

Our new GED Study Series “How do Mega-Regional Trade Agreements Affect Emerging Markets” sheds light on the effects such pervasive changes in the global trading game will have on various regions around the world.

Part three of this three-part series analyzes the effects of TTIP, TPP and FTAAP on 30 African countries and regions.

For a short summary of the paper's main findings, click here to read the corresponding blogpost. read more

 

Study

Inequality Perception Survey

Of all the objectives assigned to the welfare state, economic redistribution is a crucial, and sensitive, one. Especially during election times, the topic of taxes and inequality becomes a highly debated subject. Still, if our redistribution preferences as voters are crucial for policy formulation, whence do they arise? Are we really well-informed voters, grounding decisions on truth, or do perception biases also play a role in our political choices? Find out in this new unique cross-country study!

For a short summary of the paper's main findings, click here to read the corresponding blogpost. read more

 

Blog Post

Why More Foreign Trade Means More Growth

In our numerous GED studies on the consequences of international trade, we have always emphasized the positive effects of increased cross-border trade. This entry describes the underlying relationship between increased cross-border trade and economic growth. read more

 

Blog Post

How Mega-Regional Trade Deals Affect China

On June 12, 2016 German Chancellor Angela Merkel traveled to China for the fourth Sino-German government consultations. Trade and investment between China and Germany were on top of the agenda. At the same time, Beijing's talks on trade and investment with a number of other countries have so far been given much less attention, although their economic impact on China will be felt in Germany and beyond. read more

 

Infographic

Mega-Regional Trade Deals - What's in it for Asia?

 

Mega-Regional Trade Deals are the face of the new world trade order. But what's in it for Asia? Find out with this new GED infographic! read more

 

Infographic

Perceptions of Income Inequality

 

How do we perceive income inequality? And how does that affect our policy preferences as voters? Find out the answers to these and other questions in this new GED infographic! read more

 

About Global Economic Dynamics (GED):

We help make complex economic dynamics transparent and understandable.

The project examines the causes and effects of economic trends, as well as the connections linking one trend to another.

 

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Andreas Esche

Director, Program Megatrends

 

Bertelsmann Stiftung

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E-mail: ged@bertelsmann-stiftung.de

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The Bertelsmann Stiftung, based in Gütersloh, Germany, is an nonprofit, private

operating foundation in accordance with Section 1 of North Rhine-Westphalia's Foundation Law.

The district government of Detmold serves as its supervisory authority.

Founder: Reinhard Mohn

Chairman of the Board of Trustees: Prof. Dr. Werner J. Bauer

Executive Board: Aart De Geus (Chair), Liz Mohn (Vice Chair), Dr. Jörg Dräger, Dr. Brigitte Mohn