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Global Economic Dynamics

Newsletter of January 2017

We help make complex economic dynamics transparent and understandable. The project examines the causes and effects of economic trends, as well as the connections linking one trend to another.


Blog Post

Theresa May’s Plans for a Hard Brexit Could Be Catastrophic for the UK

On January 17, 2017 British Prime Minister Theresa May finally puts an end to speculation. The UK will be seeking a hard Brexit, abolishing any current connections to the EU single market. Our predictions for such a path are clear: The costs for the British economy will be immense! read more


Blog Post

The World Economy in 2017 - What Can We Expect?

In 2016, the development of the global economy was characterized by a number of economic and geopolitical crises. 2017 could prove to be even more turbulent. The global economic situation is therefore unlikely to get any better in the new year than it was last year. read more


Blog Post

How Trump’s Actions Reshuffle Trade Relations in the Asia-Pacific

Trump’s executive order to pull the US out of the TPP is one decisive example of the geopolitical and economic implications of the new president’s trade policy: Not only does the pullback of the US force Asian countries to reassess years of trade negotiations as well as the challenges that lie ahead. It also reshuffles the geopolitics of trade in the Asia-Pacific and potentially makes room to China to reassert its role in the region. read more


Blog Post

In the Era of Trump, Will China Take the Lead on Free Trade?

While the United States has been a strong supporter of free trade and open markets for decades, China is a country rather known for its far-reaching industrial policies, more often than not on the brink of protectionism. Are these roles about to change? read more


Blog Post

What Drives Populism in Europe?

2016 has been a year of rising populism for Europe and the world. From Brexit to Trump, from UKIP to the AfD, it seems that pandering to emotions instead of appealing to facts has become more and more a winning strategy. We want to know why. In a comparison of four distinct studies, this blog post summarizes the most recent findings to try to explain the rise and appeal of populism in Europe. read more



The Crossroads Turkey

It is easy to steer a government when things are going well. But what happens when the path becomes less clear? What happens when countries face that fork in the road? In this latest episode of The Crossroads, host Samuel George goes inside a country at political, economic, and social crossroads. read more



Turkey after the Coup Attempt

On July 15, 2016, elements of the Turkish military staged a coup attempt against Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. The putsch failed, but that day stands out as a clear “before” and “after” moment for Turkish democracy. For the Crossroads Turkey, Samuel George interviewed Turkey expert Soner Cagaptay of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy for a better understanding of the coup’s ramifications. read more



Turkey: Between Iraq & a Hard Place

While Turkey’s economy faces internal pressures, external influences aren’t helping either. Turkey’s complicated neighborhood creates pressures from all angles. read more



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About Global Economic Dynamics (GED):

We help make complex economic dynamics transparent and understandable.

The project examines the causes and effects of economic trends, as well as the connections linking one trend to another.


Andreas Esche

Director, Program Megatrends


Bertelsmann Stiftung

Carl-Bertelsmann-Str. 256

33311 Gütersloh


Tel: +49 5241 81-81333

Fax: +49 5241 81-681333

E-mail: ged@bertelsmann-stiftung.de

Web: www.bertelsmann-stiftung.de


The Bertelsmann Stiftung, based in Gütersloh, Germany, is a nonprofit, private

operating foundation in accordance with Section 1 of North Rhine-Westphalia's Foundation Law.

The district government of Detmold serves as its supervisory authority.

Founder: Reinhard Mohn

Chairman of the Board of Trustees: Prof. Dr. Werner J. Bauer

Executive Board: Dr. Ralph Heck (Chairman), Dr. Brigitte Mohn, Prof. Dr. Daniela Schwarzer